...predicting a big win for Bush. Here's a quote from an interview of Ray C. Fair, by Deborah Solomon.
Q:As a professor of economics at Yale, you are known for creating an econometric equation that has predicted presidential elections with relative accuracy.By the way, scroll down the page at the link above for a discussion of game theory that absolutely cracked me up.
A:My latest prediction shows that Bush will receive 57.5 percent of the two-party votes.
Also note how the interviewer, Ms. Solomon of the New York Times, practically scolds Professor Fair for giving the results of his prediction model - because it might hurt Kerry.